Oscars 2013 Predictions

Oscars 2013 Predictions

While “Argo” has racked up four other major awards such as the Golden Globe awards for Best Picture, the big question is will “Lincoln” hold on to its favorite spot at the Oscars tonight, or will the momentum that “Argo” has garnered push “Lincoln” off the top prediction spot?

CBS News reports that the Ben Affleck-directed CIA movie “Argo,” had a 93 percent likelihood to win, according to PredictWise, a site that aggregates, analyzes and creates predictions in real-time.

David Rothschild, an economist at Microsoft Research who analyzes data for PredictWise said: “As the awards shows really coalesced around a few people in major categories we saw a major shift and it was fun to see how that progressed. ‘Zero Dark Thirty’ moved down a little bit. ‘Lincoln’ stabilized. We saw ‘Argo’ especially for best pictures and best adapted screenplay shoot up.”

What do you think? I personally think Argo will win the Best Picture Award, but “Lincoln” will win other awards, especially Daniel Day-Lewis for Best Actor for his role in “Lincoln.”

Best Picture Oscar Predictions 2013

 

Box Office
Gross

Audience Rating

Critical
Rating

Other
Awards

Oscar
Nominations

Chance of
Winning

Argo $128 M 93 86 ●●●● ●●●●●
●●
93.5%
Lincoln $177 M 85 86 ●●●●●
●●●●●
●●●
5.5%
Silver Linings Playbook $103 M 88 81 ●●●●●
●●●
0.6%
Les Miserables $146 M 82 63 ●●●●●
●●●●
0.1%
Life Of Pi $112 M 87 79 ●●●●●
●●●●●
●●
0.1%
Zero Dark Thirty $90 M 82 95 ●● ●●●●● 0.1%
Django Unchained $158 M 94 81 ●●●●● 0.1%
Amour $4 M 83 94 ●● ●●●●●
0.0%
Beasts Of The Southern Wild $12 M 78 86 ●●●● 0.0%

Best Actor Oscar Predictions 2013

Actor

Chance of
winning

Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln 99.5%
Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables 0.3%
Joaquin Phoenix – The Master 0.2%
Denzel Washington – Flight 0.0%
Bradley CooperSilver – Linings Playbook 0.0%

Best Actress Oscar Predictions 2013

Actress

Chance of
winning

Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook 72.5%
Emmanuelle Riva – Amour 23.9%
Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty 3.4%
Naomi Watts – The Impossible 0.2%
Quvenzhané Wallis – Beasts Of The Southern Wild 0.0%

Best Supporting Actor Oscar Predictions 2013

Best Supporting Actor

Chance of
winning

Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln 47.2%
Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained 35.1%
Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook 13.2%
Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master 3.9%
Alan Arkin – Argo 0.5%

Best Supporting Actress Oscar Predictions 2013

Best Supporting Actress

Chance of
winning

Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables 99.5%
Sally Field – Lincoln 0.4%
Helen Hunt – The Sessions 0.1%
Jacki Weaver – Silver Linings Playbook 0.0%
Amy Adams – The Master 0.0%

Best Director Oscar Predictions 2013

Best Director

Chance of
winning

Steven Spielberg – Lincoln 76.7%
Ang Lee – Life Of Pi 21.4%
David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook 1.4%
Michael Haneke – Amour 0.5%
Benh Zeitlin – Beasts Of The Southern Wild 0.0%

 

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